Table 1. Diagnostic accuracies of clinical prediction rules for childhood urinary tract infections
CategoryUTICalc (≥2%)Gorelick score (≥2 variables)DUTY (≥5 points) points-based algorithm
Number of UTIs / number of children included, n 4 / 9623 / 10026 / 297
Population3 months–2 years with fever and no urinary tract abnormalities3 months–2 years with fever3 months–5 years with acute illness
VariablesAge <12 months; fever ≥39°C; non-Black ethnicity; female sex; uncircumcised male; and fever without sourcea Aged <12 months; White ethnicity; fever ≥39°C; fever ≥2 days; fever without sourceb Dysuria (2 points); malodorous urine (2 points); history of UTI (1 point); absence of severe cough (2 points); severity of illness (2 points when >6 on a scale of 0–10)
Reference standard1 or 2 pathogens >5 × 104 CFU/ml and pyuria1 or 2 pathogens >5 × 104 CFU/ml1 pathogen >105 CFU/ml
Sensitivity / specificity, derivation study, % (95% CI)95 (NR) / 35 (NR)95 (85 to 99) / 31 (28 to 34)52 (39 to 64) / 95 (94 to 95)
Sensitivity / specificity, ERNIE4 study, % (95% CI)75 (19 to 99) / 16 (9 to 25)91 (72 to 99) / 8 (3 to 16)8 (1 to 25) / 99 (96 to 100)
Urine sampling rate followingprediction rule / routine care, % (95% CI)72 (62 to 81) / 38 (28 to 48)92 (85 to 97) / 38 (29 to 48)1 (0.8 to 4) / 32 (26 to 37)
Number of missed infections,prediction rule versus routine care, n 1/4 versus 2/42/23 versus 17/2324/26 versus 16/26
  • aDefined in the original study as no upper respiratory tract infection, no bronchiolitis, no pneumonia, no acute otitis media, no gastroenteritis, no meningitis, and no viral syndrome. bdefined in the original study as discharge diagnoses: ‘fever’, ‘fever without source’, or ‘viral infection’. CFU = colony-forming unit. DUTY = Diagnosis of Urinary Tract Infections in Children. NR = not reported. UTI = urinary tract infection. UTICalc = UTI Calculator.