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Research

Defining recurrent urinary tract infection and reinfection risk: electronic health record study

Maria DLA Vazquez-Montes, Thomas R Fanshawe, Margaret C Smith, Haroon Ahmed, Nicole Stoesser, A Sarah Walker, Christopher Butler and Gail Hayward
BJGP Open 3 February 2026; BJGPO.2025.0239. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGPO.2025.0239
Maria DLA Vazquez-Montes
1 Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care Building, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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  • ORCID record for Maria DLA Vazquez-Montes
Thomas R Fanshawe
1 Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care Building, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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Margaret C Smith
1 Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care Building, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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Haroon Ahmed
2 Division of Population Medicine, Cardiff University School of Medicine, Neuadd Meirionnydd, Health Park, Cardiff CF14 4YS, UK
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Nicole Stoesser
3 Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
4 National Institutes of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
5 NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
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A Sarah Walker
3 Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
4 National Institutes of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
5 NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
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Christopher Butler
1 Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care Building, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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Gail Hayward
1 Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care Building, Radcliffe Observatory Quarter, Woodstock Road, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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Abstract

Background There is limited evidence to support the current standard recurrent urinary tract infection (rUTI) definition of ≥2 UTIs within 6 months or ≥3 within 12 months. Information about reinfection risk after meeting criteria for rUTI may aid decisions on the value of prophylactic approaches.

Aim To estimate the risk of subsequent UTI associated with different rUTI definitions.

Design & setting Electronic health record study using Infections in Oxfordshire Research Database (IORD, 2008-2019) and the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD, 2009-2019).

Method We identified community-acquired UTIs, separated by 28 days, in non-pregnant women aged 16+years. We created candidate rUTI definitions varying the time window from 3-9 months, and the number of UTIs required to meet the definition from 2-3 episodes. For each definition, we calculated Kaplan-Meier risk estimates of subsequent UTIs within 6 and 12 months after meeting rUTI criteria.

Results Of eligible women with at least one UTI, 18% (15,617/84,809) in IORD and 20% (334,487/1,703,088) in CPRD experienced ≥1 rUTI (current definition). The risk of at least two subsequent UTIs within 12 months after meeting the current rUTI definition rose from 17% (IORD) and 16% (CPRD) to 33% (IORD) and 32% (CPRD) under a rUTI definition of ≥3 UTIs within 6 months. Risk of subsequent UTI also increased with age.

Conclusion Risk estimates of subsequent UTIs after a rUTI vary according to the definition of rUTI adopted. Estimates provided here could support shared decision making around UTI prophylaxis and stratification of populations included in future rUTI research.

  • Urinary Tract Infections
  • Reinfection
  • Primary Health Care
  • Received October 30, 2025.
  • Accepted November 11, 2025.
  • Copyright © 2025, The Authors

This article is Open Access: CC BY license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)

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Accepted Manuscript
Defining recurrent urinary tract infection and reinfection risk: electronic health record study
Maria DLA Vazquez-Montes, Thomas R Fanshawe, Margaret C Smith, Haroon Ahmed, Nicole Stoesser, A Sarah Walker, Christopher Butler, Gail Hayward
BJGP Open 3 February 2026; BJGPO.2025.0239. DOI: 10.3399/BJGPO.2025.0239

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Accepted Manuscript
Defining recurrent urinary tract infection and reinfection risk: electronic health record study
Maria DLA Vazquez-Montes, Thomas R Fanshawe, Margaret C Smith, Haroon Ahmed, Nicole Stoesser, A Sarah Walker, Christopher Butler, Gail Hayward
BJGP Open 3 February 2026; BJGPO.2025.0239. DOI: 10.3399/BJGPO.2025.0239
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Keywords

  • urinary tract infections
  • Reinfection
  • primary health care

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