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Research

Enabling patient–physician continuity in Swedish primary care: the importance of a named GP. A registry-based observational study

Lina Maria Ellegård, Anders Anell and Gustav Kjellsson
BJGP Open 2024; 8 (4): BJGPO.2024.0118. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGPO.2024.0118
Lina Maria Ellegård
1 Department of Economics, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
2 Kristianstad University, Kristianstad, Sweden
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  • ORCID record for Lina Maria Ellegård
  • For correspondence: lina_maria.ellegard{at}nek.lu.se
Anders Anell
3 Department of Business Administration, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
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Gustav Kjellsson
4 Centre for Health Governance, Department of Economics, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden
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    Figure 1. Differential attrition. Note: The figure shows estimates from model 1–3 contrasting patient with and without a named GP 1–4 years after the index date. Patients with an index date in 2015 lack data on mortality for t+4; otherwise, all models include the full study population.

    PCC = primary care centre.

Tables

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    Table 1. Follow-up and censoring
    Patient 1Patient 2
    Index date (DD/MM/YYYY)01/02/201301/02/2013
    Last date of follow-up31/01/201731/01/2017
    CensoredNoYes
    Censoring dateN/A31/01/2015
    Effective follow-up4 years2 years
    • The table illustrates the outcomes computed for two fictional patients with the same index date, one of whom was censored (because they died) during the follow-up period. Outcomes (number of visits, continuity of care) are counted over the full follow-up period for both patients, but the effective follow up is shorter for patient 2 because she is only observed for 2 years after the index date.

    • View popup
    Table 2. Sample moments by group
    Named GP (n = 23 762)No named GP (n = 42 301)
    A. Before balancing B. After balancing
    VariableMeanVarianceSkewnessMeanVarianceSkewnessMeanVarianceSkewness
    Age, years47.444222644.2546824.147.4442426.1
    Education0.8890.6050.1940.9390.650.1110.8890.6050.194
    Disp. inc. (decile)5.648.17-0.06625.368.860.02835.648.17-0.0604
    Born in Sweden or Nordic region0.8830.103-2.390.8490.128-1.940.8830.103-2.39
    Movera 0.06150.05773.650.1110.09852.480.06150.05773.65
    Start date (reg.)17 835858 3350.037718 432323 9540.11717 835858 361-0.07
    Duration (reg.)1298611 1741.311038288 8640.9581298611 1581.4
    Registered t-20.8660.116-2.150.8170.15-1.640.8660.116-2.15
    Registered t-30.720.201-0.9830.6790.218-0.7650.720.201-0.983
    Switched PCC (2–4 years pre)0.6220.235-0.5050.4810.250.07440.6220.235-0.504
    Switched GP (2–4 years pre)0.7030.209-0.890.5430.248-0.1730.7030.209-0.89
    First diagnosis of depression0.3380.2240.6830.3730.2340.5230.3380.2240.683
    First diagnosis of hypertension0.3180.2170.7830.280.2020.9780.3180.2170.783
    First diagnosis of ischaemic heart disease0.05290.05013.990.04190.04024.570.05290.05014
    Index year20124.420.032520132.59-0.33320124.420.0972
    Any GP visit (3–4 years pre)0.5220.25-0.08610.4950.250.02010.5210.25-0.086
    Number of GP visits (3–4 years pre)1.333.92.871.233.562.681.333.92.91
    Number of nurse visits (3–4 years pre)1.311.57.821.2910.97.051.311.58.91
    Any ED visit (3–4 years pre)0.1310.1142.190.1140.1012.440.1310.1142.19
    Any GP visit (1–2 years pre)0.8670.115-2.160.8840.102-2.40.8670.115-2.16
    Number of GP visits (1–2 years pre)2.767.212.312.837.112.162.767.212.36
    Number of nurse visits (1–2 years pre)2.1818.26.442.6727.24.112.1818.24.79
    • The table shows the first three sample moments — the mean, the variance, and the skewness — for the background characteristics which were used to obtain entropy weights. For the comparison group with no named GP, A shows the moments as observed in the data, and B shows the moments after using the entropy weights. The start date and duration variables refer to the PCC registration that was ongoing at the index date. The dummy variables for being registered in t-2 and t-3 refer to the second and third year before the index date (by definition, everyone was registered the year before the index date). The dummy variables for having switched PCC or GP indicate whether such a switch occurred during the 2–4 years before the index date. The prior care use variables at the bottom of the table are calculated over the 3–4 and 1–2 years before the index date, respectively.

    • aAn individual who recently moved from another municipality.

    • ED = emergency department. Disp. inc = disposable income. PCC = primary care centre. Pre = period before the index date. Reg = registration.

    • View popup
    Table 3. Summary statistics for main outcome variables by group
    Named GPNo named GP
    Obs Mean SD Obs Mean SD
    Continuity
    UPC17 0440.4840.23628 5910.4570.217
    UPC first64120.6750.25511 1080.6380.248
    Care utilisation
    Number of GP visits23 7625.955.2942 3015.325.04
    Number of GP visits for first chronic condition23 7621.832.5242 3011.732.49
    Number of nurse visits23 7625.188.4142 3015.018.89
    Any OOH visit23 7620.1750.3842 3010.190.392
    Any ED visits23 7620.3540.47842 3010.3480.476
    Any unplanned hospitalisation23 7620.2330.42342 3010.2260.418
    Attrition
    Still registered t+123 7620.9740.1642 3010.9680.177
    Still registered t+223 7620.9560.20442 3010.9440.23
    Still registered t+323 7620.940.23742 3010.9240.265
    Still registered t+423 7620.9250.26342 3010.9070.291
    Death (1 year)23 7620.01520.12242 3010.01340.115
    Death (2 years)23 7620.02410.15342 3010.02080.143
    Death (3 years)23 7620.03350.1842 3010.02890.167
    Death (4 years)20 7030.04540.20835 5110.03960.195
    • The table shows the mean (or proportion for binary variables) and standard deviation (SD) of the outcome variables for the sample used in each model (Obs). The sample generally includes the whole study population, with the following exceptions: 1) For the two continuity variables (usual provider of care [UPC] index), the sample includes individuals with at least three GP visits during follow-up; for visits with any diagnosis (UPC) and for visits related to the new chronic condition (UPC first). 2) For the variable indicating mortality in t+4, the sample excludes patients diagnosed in 2015, because of a lack of data regarding deaths in the final follow-up year for that cohort.

    • ED = emergency department. OOH = out of hours.

    • View popup
    Table 4. Continuity of care
    Any diagnosisChronic diagnosis
    123456
    Named GP0.0276a
    (0.0139)
    0.0264
    (0.0169)
    -0.000322
    (0.00756)
    0.0379a
    (0.0177)
    0.0330
    (0.0299)
    0.0185
    (0.0135)
    n 45 63545 63545 63517 52017 52017 520
    Entropy balancing weightsNoYesYesNoYesYes
    PCC FENoNoYesNoNoYes
    • The table shows the estimated association (regression coefficients) between having a named GP and continuity of care for three model specifications. Model 1 (columns 1 and 4) shows the unadjusted difference in means. Model 2 (columns 2 and 5) applies entropy balancing weights. Model 3 (columns 3 and 6) applies entropy balancing weights and includes practice fixed effects (PCC FE). Continuity is measured by the usual provider of care (UPC) index for patients with at least three GP visits during follow-up. Standard errors (in brackets) are clustered by PCC.

    • a P<0.05

    • View popup
    Table 5. Secondary outcomes (utilisation)
    123456
    ANumber of GP visits (any diagnosis)Number of GP visits (chronic diagnosis)
    Named GP0.628c 0.411b 0.364c 0.1040.0642-0.0112
    (0.130)(0.143)(0.0915)(0.0590)(0.0759)(0.0562)
    BNumber of nurse visitsAny OOH visit
    Named GP0.164-0.3260.104-0.01470.009440.00605
    (0.198)(0.271)(0.183)(0.0109)(0.0129)(0.00599)
    CAny ED visitAny hospitalisation
    Named GP0.006300.0438a 0.01280.00708-0.01060.00149
    (0.0143)(0.0215)(0.00854)(0.00555)(0.0108)(0.00704)
    n 66 06366 06366 06366 06366 06366 063
    EBWNoYesYesNoYesYes
    PCC FENoNoYesNoNoYes
    • The table shows the estimated associations between having a named GP and the secondary outcomes. Model 1 (columns 1 and 4) shows the unadjusted difference in means. Model 2 (columns 2 and 5) applies entropy balancing weights. Model 3 (columns 3 and 6) applies entropy balancing weights (EBW) and includes practice fixed effects (PCC FE). Standard errors (in brackets) are clustered by PCC. * P<0.05, ** P<0.01, *** P<0.001.

    • ED = emergency department. OOH = out-of-hours clinic.

    • a P<0.05. b P<0.01. c P<0.001.

Supplementary Data

  • LME_10.3399BJGPO.2024.0118.pdf -

    Supplementary material is not copyedited or typeset, and is published as supplied by the author(s). The author(s) retain(s) responsibility for its accuracy. 

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Enabling patient–physician continuity in Swedish primary care: the importance of a named GP. A registry-based observational study
Lina Maria Ellegård, Anders Anell, Gustav Kjellsson
BJGP Open 2024; 8 (4): BJGPO.2024.0118. DOI: 10.3399/BJGPO.2024.0118

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Enabling patient–physician continuity in Swedish primary care: the importance of a named GP. A registry-based observational study
Lina Maria Ellegård, Anders Anell, Gustav Kjellsson
BJGP Open 2024; 8 (4): BJGPO.2024.0118. DOI: 10.3399/BJGPO.2024.0118
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Keywords

  • Continuity of care
  • Practice management
  • Chronic conditions

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