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Research

Are we missing lifetime COPD diagnosis among people with COPD recorded death? A population-based retrospective cohort study

Alicia Gayle, Alexandra Lenoir, Cosetta Minelli and Jennifer Quint
BJGP Open 2022; 6 (4): BJGPO.2022.0060. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGPO.2022.0060
Alicia Gayle
1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
2 National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Center, London, UK
3 Epidemiology Department, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK
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  • ORCID record for Alicia Gayle
  • For correspondence: alicia.gayle14{at}imperial.ac.uk
Alexandra Lenoir
4 Department of Respiratory Medicine, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland
5 Gesundheitsamt Fürstenfeldbruck, Fürstenfeldbruck, Germany
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Cosetta Minelli
1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
2 National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Center, London, UK
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Jennifer Quint
1 National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
2 National Institute for Health Research, Imperial Biomedical Research Center, London, UK
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Article Figures & Data

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    Figure 1. Study design. BMI = body mass index. COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. ICD-10 = International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision.
  • Figure 2.
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    Figure 2. Proportion of patients with evidence of chronic obsructive pulmonary disease (COPD) by diagnostic criteria. FEV/FVC = forced expiratory volume/forced vital capacity. LLN = lower limit of normal
  • Figure 3.
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    Figure 3. Proportion of patients with a missed COPD diagnosis by year of death (panel A shows definition A, panel B shows definition E). BLF = British Lung Foundation. COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. QOF = Quality and Outcomes Framework.

Tables

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  • GroupDefinition
    ASpecific COPD code only:Diagnostic COPD code or record of acute exacerbation of COPD in either primary care or secondary care data using previously validated Read or SNOMED-CT or International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes11 (see Supplementary Tables S1 and S2 for additional codes used to identify COPD and COPD exacerbations using SNOMED-CT codes)
    BSpecific COPD code and record of spirometry:Record of spirometry being performed at any time in a patient's medical history
    CSpecific COPD code and medication prescribed within 4 weeks of a diagnostic code
    DSpecific COPD code, presence of spirometry and medication prescribed within 4 weeks of a diagnostic code
    ESpecific COPD code with post-bronchodilator spirometry confirmed obstruction(forced expiratory volume [FEV]1/forced vital capacity [FVC] <0.7)
    FSpecific COPD code with post-bronchodilator spirometry confirmed obstructionFEV1/FVC < lower limit of normal (LLN)
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    Table 1. Characteristics of patients with missed COPD diagnosis compared with those with diagnosed COPD using the main definition (B: COPD code and presence of spirometry)
    Missed COPD diagnosisCOPD diagnosisP value
    n = 37 763n = 40 858
    Age at death80 (73–87)79 (72–85)<0.001
    SexFemale18 339 (48.6%)18 907 (46.3%)<0.001
    IMD1 (least deprived)5544 (14.7%)5812 (14.2%)0.085
     26508 (17.2%)7221 (17.7%)
     37258 (19.2%)7965 (19.5%)
     48205 (21.7%)9088 (22.2%)
     5 (most deprived)9986 (26.4%)10 693 (26.2%)
     Missing262 (0.7%)79 (0.2%)
    RegionSouth of England20 154 (53.4%)20 836 (51.0%)<0.001
     North of England17 609 (46.6%)20 022 (49.0%)
    Ethnic groupWhite31 593 (83.7%)37 949 (92.9%)<0.001
     Asian236 (0.6%)223 (0.5%)
     Black162 (0.4%)121 (0.3%)
     Mixed or other253 (0.7%)200 (0.5%)
     Missing5519 (14.6%)2365 (5.8%)
    BMI (kg/m2)Underweight (<18.5)3004 (8.0%)6433 (15.7%)<0.001
     Healthy weight (18.5–24.9)11 697 (31.0%)17 361 (42.5%)
     Overweight (25.0–39.9)5727 (15.2%)8274 (20.3%)
     Obese (>40)3399 (9.0%)5619 (13.8%)
     Missing13 936 (36.9%)3171 (7.8%)
    Comorbid conditionsHeart failure14 716 (39.0%)17 001 (41.6%)<0.001
    Asthma (ever)15 645 (41.4%)24 846 (60.8%)<0.001
     Asthma (year before)3177 (8.4%)4318 (10.6%)<0.001
     Bronchiectasis2324 (6.2%)4872 (11.9%)<0.001
     Interstitial lung disease1686 (4.5%)2795 (6.8%)<0.001
    Symptom burdenCough symptoms13 453 (35.6%)27 843 (68.1%)<0.001
    Sputum production6752 (17.9%)18 886 (46.2%)<0.001
     Breathlessness27 351 (72.4%)38 179 (93.4%)<0.001
    Smoking statusCurrently smokes13 201 (35.0%)13 072 (32.0%)<0.001
    Formerly smoked9478 (25.1%)23 366 (57.2%)
    Never smoked5061 (13.4%)3410 (8.3%)
     Missing smoking status10 023 (26.5%)1010 (2.5%)
    • BMI = body mass index. COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. IMD = Index of Multiple Deprivation. Data are presented as n (%) for categorical measures, and median and interquartile range for numerical variables. Comorbidities assessed as occurring at any point in medical record before death.

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    Table 2. Adjusted odds ratios for missed COPD diagnosis for all factors tested in the multiple regression model
    Odds ratio (95% CI)P value
    Birth year0.99 (0.99 to 1.00)<0.001
    Female1.16 (1.12 to 1.21)<0.001
    Year of death0.86 (0.86 to 0.87)<0.001
    Smoking StatusFormerly Smoked vs Currently Smokes 0.42 (0.40 to 0.43)* <0.001
    No Smoking Record vs Currently Smokes 4.52 (4.13 to 4.95)* <0.001
    Never smoked vs Currently smokes 1.26 (1.18 to 1.35)* <0.001
    BMI (kg/m2)Underweight vs Healthy Weight 0.63 (0.59 to 0.67)* <0.001
    Overweight vs Healthy Weight 1.15 (1.10 to 1.21)* <0.001
    Obese vs Healthy Weight 1.11 (1.05 to 1.17)* <0.001
    RegionNorth of England vs South of England 0.86 (0.80 to 0.92)* <0.001
    IMD Quintile2 vs 1 (least deprived)0.96 (0.90 to 1.03)0.23
    3 vs 10.96 (0.90 to 1.03)0.255
    4 vs 10.95 (0.88 to 1.02)0.122
    5 vs 11.02 (0.95 to 1.10)0.63
    Ethnic groupBlack vs White 1.87 (1.37 to 2.54)* <0.001
    Mixed/Other vs White1.08 (0.83 to 1.39)0.654
    Asian vs White 1.54 (1.21 to 1.96)* <0.001
    Unknown vs White 1.28 (1.20 to 1.38)* <0.001
    Comorbid conditionsAsthma 0.39 (0.38 to 0.41)* <0.001
    Interstitial lung disease 0.92 (0.85 to 1.00)* 0.04
    Bronchiectasis 0.72 (0.68 to 0.77)* <0.001
    • IMD = Index of Multiple Deprivation. Northern regions include North East, North West, Yorkshire and the Humber, East Midlands, West Midlands.Southern regions include East of England, South West, South Central, London, South East Coast.

    • Statistically significant results are indicated in bold with asterisk.

Supplementary Data

  • Gayle_BJGPO.2022.0060_Supp.pdf -

    Supplementary material is not copyedited or typeset, and is published as supplied by the author(s). The author(s) retain(s) responsibility for its accuracy.

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Are we missing lifetime COPD diagnosis among people with COPD recorded death? A population-based retrospective cohort study
Alicia Gayle, Alexandra Lenoir, Cosetta Minelli, Jennifer Quint
BJGP Open 2022; 6 (4): BJGPO.2022.0060. DOI: 10.3399/BJGPO.2022.0060

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Are we missing lifetime COPD diagnosis among people with COPD recorded death? A population-based retrospective cohort study
Alicia Gayle, Alexandra Lenoir, Cosetta Minelli, Jennifer Quint
BJGP Open 2022; 6 (4): BJGPO.2022.0060. DOI: 10.3399/BJGPO.2022.0060
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Keywords

  • pulmonary disease, chronic obstructive
  • diagnosis
  • general practice
  • primary health care
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